Monday, November 24, 2008

Data centers: How to cut carbon emissions and costs

Data centers: How to cut carbon emissions and costs

The demand for data center capacity worldwide has led to a sharp rise in IT costs and a steady increase in carbon emissions. A new efficiency metric provides companies with a clear yardstick for measuring progress.

The modern corporation runs on data. Data centers house the thousands of servers that power applications, provide information, and automate a range of processes. There has been no letup in the demand for data center capacity, and the power consumed as thousands of servers churn away is responsible for rising operating costs and steady growth in worldwide greenhouse gases.

Our work suggests that companies can double the energy efficiency of their data centers through more disciplined management, reducing both costs and greenhouse gas emissions. In particular, companies need to manage technology assets more aggressively so existing servers can work at much higher utilization levels; they also need to improve forecasting of how business demand drives application, server, and data center–facility capacity so they can curb unnecessary capital and operating spending.

Data center efficiency is a strategic issue. Building and operating these centers consumes ever-larger portions of corporate IT budgets, leaving less available for high-priority technology projects. Data center build programs are board level decisions. At the same time, regulators and external stakeholders are taking keen interest in how companies manage their carbon footprints. Adopting best practices will not only help companies reduce pollution but could also enhance their image as good corporate citizens.

A costly problem

Companies are performing more complex analyses, customers are demanding real-time access to accounts, and employees are finding new, technology-intensive ways to collaborate. As a result, demand for computing, storage, and networking capacity continues to increase even as the economy slows. To cope, IT departments are adding more computing resources, with the number of servers in data centers in the United States growing by about 10 percent a year. At the same time, the number of data centers is rising even more swiftly in emerging markets such as China and India, where organizations are becoming more complex and automating more operations and where, increasingly, outsourced data operations are located. This inexorable demand for computing resources has led to the steady rise of data center capacity worldwide. The growth shows no sign of ending soon, and typically it only moderates during economic down cycles.

This growth has led to a sharp rise in IT costs (Exhibit 1). Data centers typically account for 25 percent of total corporate IT budgets when the costs of facilities, storage devices, servers, and staffing are included. That share will only increase as the number of servers grows and the price of electricity continues its climb faster than revenues and other IT costs. The cost of running these facilities is rising by as much as 20 percent a year, far outpacing overall IT spending, which is increasing at a rate of 6 percent.

Spending increases on data centers are reshaping the economics of many businesses, particularly those that are intensive users of information such as finance, information services, media, and telecom. The investment required to launch a large-enterprise data center has risen to $500 million, from $150 million, over the past five years. The price tag for the biggest facilities at IT-intensive businesses is approaching $1 billion. This spending is diverting capital from new product development, making some data-intensive products uneconomic, and squeezing margins. The environmental consequences also are stark, as rising power consumption creates a large and expanding carbon footprint. For most service sectors, data centers are a business’s number-one source of greenhouse gas emissions. Between 2000 and 2006, the amount of energy used to store and handle data doubled, with the average data facility using as much energy as 25,000 households. Already, the world’s 44 million servers consume 0.5 percent of all electricity, with data center emissions now approaching those of countries such as Argentina or the Netherlands. In the United States alone, growth in electricity used by data centers between now and 2010 will be the equivalent of ten new power plants. Without efforts to curb demand, current projections show worldwide carbon emissions from data centers will quadruple by 2020 (Exhibit 2).

Regulators have taken note of these developments and are pressing companies for solutions. In the United States, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has proposed that large data centers use energy meters as a first step toward creating operating-efficiency standards. The European Union, meanwhile, has issued a voluntary code of conduct laying out best practices for running data centers at higher levels of energy efficiency. Government pressure to reduce emissions will likely increase as data center emissions continue to rise.

Far-reaching challenges

In information-intensive organizations, decisions affecting the efficiency of data center operations are made at many levels. Financial traders choose to run complex Monte Carlo analyses, while pharmaceutical researchers decide how much imaging data from clinical trials they want to store. Managers who develop applications decide on how much programming it will take to meet these demands. Those managing server infrastructure decide on equipment purchases. Facilities directors decide on data center locations, power supplies, and the time frame for installing equipment ahead of predicted demand (Exhibit 3).

These decisions are usually made in isolation. A sales manager may choose to change transactions from overnight to real-time clearing, or a financial analyst may want to store multiple copies of historical data—without thinking about the impact on data center costs. Applications developers rarely think of fine-tuning their work to use the fewest number of servers, or of creating design applications that can be shared across servers. Managers buying them may select those with the lowest prices or those with which they’re most familiar. But these servers may waste electricity or space in data centers. Frequently, managers purchase excess devices to guarantee capacity in the most extreme usage scenarios, creating large amounts of excess capacity. And managers often build facilities with excess floor space and high cooling capacity to meet extreme demands or all expansion contingencies.

Multiplied across an organization, these decisions result in both costs and environmental implications. In many cases, existing servers could be decommissioned and plans for new ones shelved without diminishing the ability of companies to manage data. This can be accomplished using well-known techniques, including virtualization, which in effect share capacity by seeking unused portions of servers to run pieces of applications. But this doesn’t always happen, since no one executive has end-to-end accountability. Within the organization, managers optimize for their own interests, resulting in the inefficiency observed in most data centers. In many instances, only a single software application runs on a server.

Within one media company, almost a third of the nearly 500 servers we analyzed had utilization rates below 3 percent, and nearly two-thirds were below 10 percent. This company used none of the number of readily available management tools for tracking use. On a global basis, we estimate daily server utilization generally tops out at 5 to 10 percent, wasting both energy and employed capital. A common response from data center managers is that the servers exist to provide capacity for extreme situations, such as the shopping crunch on the day before Christmas. However, the data generally don’t support this assertion: when average utilization is very low, so is peak usage. Furthermore, sprawling data facilities are sometimes only half occupied by servers and related equipment, suggesting hundreds of millions of dollars in wasted capital spending. Even in data centers that companies report as full, a walk down the aisles often reveals significant gaps within racks of servers, where equipment has been decommissioned.

These mismatches arise in part from the difficulty of forecasting data center requirements. Operating time frames are one problem. Data centers take 2 years or more to design and build and are expected to last at least 12 years, so capacity is added well in advance of the actual needs of business units. At the same time there is an incomplete understanding of how business decisions affect one another, how they translate into the need for new applications, and how much server capacity is needed to meet demand. Many companies, for example, would have difficulty forecasting whether a 50 percent increase in customer demand would require 25 percent or 100 percent more server and data center capacity. In the extreme, we have seen some facilities lie half empty years after opening; other companies complete one data center only to find they need to build a new one almost immediately.

Considering that data centers have become a costly asset, accountability for financial performance is poor. Financial and management responsibility for facilities often falls to real-estate managers who have little technical expertise and few insights into how IT relates to core business issues. Those managing server operations, meanwhile, rarely see data on crucial operating spending such as electricity consumption or the true cost of the real estate occupied by the IT equipment. Conversely, when IT managers decide on additional applications or new servers, they sometimes use only basic metrics such as initial hardware costs or software licenses. Figuring out the real costs requires consideration of facilities operations and leases, electricity use, support, and depreciation. These charges can multiply the initial purchase cost of a server by a factor of four or five. Combined with the siloed decision making and accountability issues discussed above, extra servers are often added as insurance with little discussion of cost trade-offs or the needs of the business. In the absence of true cost analysis, overbuilding, overdesign, and inefficiency become the rule.

Reforming data center operations

When we began our research, we expected to find that building new energy-efficient data centers would offer the best hope of reducing their cost and carbon footprint. New facilities could take advantage of current technologies that make use of natural cooling and of power supplies that produce fewer emissions. However, we also learned that the most dramatic reductions in cost and carbon emissions come from improving the low efficiency of data centers that companies already operate. Through better management of assets, more accountable management, and setting clear goals for reducing energy costs and carbon emissions, most companies can double IT energy efficiency by 2012 and halt the growth of their data centers’ greenhouse gas emissions. Indeed, the greenest data center is the one that you don’t have to build.

Manage IT assets aggressively

One large company’s approach illustrates the potential gains from a disciplined use of existing servers and facilities. The company’s plans for meeting its 2010 information needs called for increasing the server base and building a new data center to house these servers and other IT equipment. Its board already had approved the plans, which represented a significant amount of the company’s capital spending that year. It has since radically revised them. More than 5,000 rarely used servers will be shut down. Virtualization of some 3,700 applications—15 percent of the companywide total—will allow a reduction in the number of active servers to 20,000, from 25,000. The company has also replaced some older servers with those that use electricity 20 percent more efficiently.

These changes enabled the company to shelve its data center expansion plans, saving $305 million in capital investment costs. Projected operating expenses (for fewer servers and less power consumption) are set to fall by $45 million, to $75 million. Taking into account decommissioning and virtualization, the average server will run at 9.1 percent of capacity rather than the current 5.6 percent. The company will still meet its growing data needs, but reduction in power demands means that CO2 emissions over the next four years will be cut to 341,000 tons, from 591,000 tons.

Companies can also save by better managing rising demand for data. Business units should review policies on how much data should be retained and whether to scale back some intensive data analyses. Some transaction computation can be deferred, thus reducing peak use of servers, and not all corporate information requires extensively backed-up disaster recovery capabilities.

Get better information

Better forecasting and planning is the foundation for data center efficiency gains. Companies should track how their forecasts for data needs vary with real demand and then provide bonuses to those business units that are able to minimize deviations. Data center managers should incorporate the most complete view of future trends in their models, such as organizational growth and business cycles. Input from data centers, applications architects, and facilities operators can be used to improve these models. One global communications company instituted a planning process that included developing scenarios for data growth for each of its business units. While the company eventually concluded that it needed additional capacity, a large portion of future needs were met using existing assets, saving 35 percent in planned capital expenses.

True accounting for costs

In many organizations, data centers are treated as buckets waiting to be filled, rather than as scarce and expensive resources. To combat this tendency, companies can adopt true cost of ownership (TCO) accounting when estimating costs for new servers or additional applications and data. Lifetime costs of running applications and operating servers are rarely included in spending decisions by business units, software developers, or IT managers. Building them in upfront can help limit excess demand.

One financial institution adopted TCO accounting for all the applications that supported its trading and investment-banking products. It resulted in first-ever discussions with IT managers about which investments in software applications were actually producing adequate returns, providing a road map for reducing areas of overinvestment and IT inefficiency. Multiplying these conversations across business units can bring much-needed discipline to decisions that ultimately have an impact on data center costs.

Centralize responsibility

Managing these kinds of changes may be difficult. Many in large organizations don’t recognize the cost of data. Demands for data center services arrive from across the enterprise. Responsibility for meeting those demands falls across IT departments (including operations and application development), facilities planners, shared services groups, and corporate real-estate functions. There is no single standard for reporting the costs.

We suggest a new governance model for managing data center needs, with full responsibility and accountability falling to the CIO. Under such a regime, the CIO would have much greater visibility into the data demands of business units and could enforce requirements that energy consumption and facilities costs figure into return-on-investment calculations for new data projects requiring additional servers or software applications. We also suggest that CIOs employ a new metric for measuring progress (see sidebar, “Improving data center efficiency”). With sharpened accountability, the CIO will have greater incentive to seek improvements, such as virtualization and better use of existing facilities. Since this model vests much broader responsibility with the CIO for key business decisions, it needs full support from the CEO and a change in organizational mindset that business unit requests for added data center capacity won’t always be met.

In addition, the CIO should publicly commit to the goal of doubling data center energy efficiency as a way of encouraging improvements and of helping the business to get ahead of regulatory or other stakeholder pressures. Our analysis indicates that nearly every company is capable of doubling its data center energy efficiency over the next three or four years using currently available techniques and technology. Achieving this goal requires stronger data center management, better planning, and increased accountability.

Data center inefficiency is widespread, and it has become a major concern worldwide. But there is significant opportunity for improvement. Following the recommendations outlined above can create a virtuous cycle of better data center management leading to more efficient energy use, lower costs, and steady reductions in carbon emissions. 

About the Authors

William Forrest is an associate principal in McKinsey’s Chicago office. James Kaplan, a principal in the New York office, leads the technology infrastructure practice for the global IT group. Noah Kindler is a consultant in the New York office.

The authors would like to recognize the important contributions of Kenneth Brill and The Uptime Institute to the development of this article and its recommendations. The Institute provided insight based on many years of experience, as well as proprietary data and analysis.

Chemical Engineer Suggests Process Industries Should Make Maintenance Of Control Loops "A Higher Priority."

Chemical Engineer Suggests Process Industries Should Make Maintenance Of Control Loops "A Higher Priority."

Australia's PACE (11/24, Falson) reports, "A senior chemical engineer said Australia's process industries should make the maintenance of control loops...a higher priority to achieve world best practice levels in process control." Mike Brisk outlined "the outcomes of a recent survey conducted by the National Committee on Automation Control and Instrumentation of the Electrical College of Engineers Australia, called Australian Process Industries Process Control 2005 Survey." Brisk noted that "the survey showed that Australia's minerals processing industries in particular are achieving significant economic benefits from the application of process control, however plant operators aren't recognising the potential of maintenance." According to the professor, "the industry does not appear to be showing sufficient awareness of the need to ensure the continuing health of their installed control systems."

Automakers Scrambling To Conserve Cash.

Automakers Scrambling To Conserve Cash.

The Wall Street Journal (11/24, Aeppel) reports, "U.S. auto suppliers are scrambling to extend their holiday-season shutdowns, shedding workers and developing contingency plans to deal with a potentially devastating failure of some of their biggest customers in Detroit." Meanwhile, "suppliers, still unsure of what will happen to the nation's car makers, are conserving cash by shifting to shorter workweeks, canceling capital-spending plans and accelerating layoffs. Problems in the supply network have the potential to spread pain to a wide swath of the U.S. economy. Auto suppliers employ more than 730,000 workers in the U.S., about three times more than the Big Three."

On the front page of its Business Day section, the New York Times (11/24, B1, Kouwe, Story) reports, "The intertwining troubles of the auto and financial industries were partly behind the sharp sell-off in financial stocks last week, when banking shares fell to their lowest levels since the economic crisis broke out and questions swirled about the future of Citigroup." Businesses and "ordinary people all the way down the automotive food chain are shouldering a lot of debt too. That includes autoworkers, but also everyone from makers of car stereos to dealerships to parts suppliers, as well as the people who work for those companies. Many of these borrowers could run into trouble if the automakers implode, leaving lenders in the lurch. ... A big worry is whether banks that have extended loans or underwritten bonds for the auto industry have held on to this debt or sold it to other investors."

Jede zweite Firma will Arbeitsplätze streichen

Abschwung 2009

Jede zweite Firma will Arbeitsplätze streichen

24. November 2008, 07:32 Uhr
--- welt.com

Jedes zweite deutsche Unternehmen plant für 2009 einen Stellenabbau. Dies ergibt eine Umfrage des Kölner Instituts für Wirtschaft. Die IW-Forscher gehen von 230.000 weniger Erbwerbstätigen aus. Kanzlerin Angela Merkel (CDU) appelliert an die Wirtschaft, Arbeitsplätze zu erhalten.

Jedes zweite Unternehmen in Deutschland plant nach Angaben der „Bild“-Zeitung im Jahr 2009 den Abbau von Arbeitsplätzen. Nur etwa 52 Prozent der Betriebe in Ostdeutschland wollten ihre Belegschaft 2009 halten, berichtete das Blatt unter Berufung auf die Herbst-Konjunkturumfrage des arbeitgebernahen Kölner Instituts für Wirtschaft (IW). Im Westen seien es sogar nur gut 45 Prozent.

Die Zahl der Erwerbstätigen werde 2009 im Durchschnitt um 230.000 auf unter 40 Millionen zurückgehen, heißt es den Angaben zufolge in dem Gutachten weiter.

Die Bundesagentur für Arbeit geht jedoch davon aus, dass der Wirtschaftsabschwung weniger stark auf dem Arbeitsmarkt durchschlägt als frühere Konjunkturkrisen. Vorstandschef Frank-Jürgen Weise sagte der „Bild“-Zeitung, das BA-Forschungsinstitut rechne bei einem Schrumpfen der Wirtschaft um 0,5 Prozent mit 130.000 zusätzlichen Arbeitslosen im Jahresschnitt 2009.

Dies sei der schlimmste Fall. Bei einem Nullwachstum sei lediglich mit 30.000 zusätzlichen Arbeitslosen zu rechnen. Weise sagte, es gebe immer noch eine Million offene Stellen, Vollbeschäftigung in zahlreichen Regionen, und die durchschnittliche Dauer der Arbeitslosigkeit habe sich seit 2005 halbiert. „Die BA braucht keine neuen Arbeitsmarktprogramme. Wir sind gut gerüstet für den Abschwung“, sagte Weise der Zeitung weiter.

Zuvor hatte Bundeskanzlerin Angela Merkel (CDU) an die Unternehmen in Deutschland appelliert, trotz der drohenden Rezession ihre Fachkräfte nicht zu entlassen, sondern im Betrieb zu halten und zu qualifizieren.

„Denn wir wissen: Nach der Krise wird es wieder Wachstum geben und dann werden Fachkräfte wieder dringend gesucht werden“, sagte die Kanzlerin in ihrem Video-Podcast. Die CDU-Vorsitzende verwies darauf, dass die Koalition deshalb das Kurzarbeitergeld verlängert habe, um den Firmen in der Krisenphase zu helfen.

The Clean Energy Economy: A New Industrial Revolution Rising From Challenging Times

The Clean Energy Economy: A New Industrial Revolution Rising From Challenging Times

Strong national leadership needed now more than ever.
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
By Hemant Taneja
--- technologyreveiw.com

In the last five years, many venture capitalists (myself included) have committed to backing entrepreneurs who aspire to build the next generation of clean energy companies that will endure. Thousands of companies have formed to harness alternative forms of energy like wind, solar and biofuels; and to reduce man's carbon footprint. Billions of dollars have been poured into this fledgling entrepreneurial ecosystem with the vision of creating significant wealth, millions of jobs, and energy security for our nation.

When the Telecommunications Act of 1996 was passed, entrepreneurs focused on the communications sector, and within a decade companies like Google, Yahoo and EBay became household names and changes heretofore unseen since the Industrial Revolution occurred. It's time for another Industrial Revolution, fueled by clean energy.

Despite the capital-intensive nature of clean energy companies, the nation's entrepreneurial ecosystem is committed to building a clean energy economy for three primary reasons: 1) a strong and growing belief that concern over climate change and increasing energy demand from emerging economies have created a long term opportunity for clean energy innovation; 2) a conviction that technology and business innovation can reduce our carbon footprint and produce viable alternative energy sources at scale; and 3) the development of a favorable U.S. policy framework at the federal and state level, that has attracted large scale private funding to build the next generation of infrastructure.

However, I submit that the continued development of our clean energy economy is now at risk with the advent of the economic crisis. Large financial institutions that had begun to finance the commercialization of clean energy technologies have suddenly lost their capacity to do so. Chief executive officers of emerging clean energy companies now have genuine fears as to whether enough capital will be available to fuel their growth. Furthermore, the slowdown of emerging economies as well as a dramatic reduction in the price of oil further hinders the situation. Investors and entrepreneurs alike are forced to reconsider funding this sector, worried that this may lead to another false start akin to the setback in the early 1980s.

The newly elected administration must show its full resolve and partner with the entrepreneurial ecosystem by reinforcing our national commitment to achieve energy independence and curb global warming. Swift and comprehensive action is required.

First, the incoming administration must make a significant financial commitment towards research and development of clean energy technologies. We need to recognize that while the $15 billion of annual funding that President-elect Barack Obama has called for is a step in the right direction, it may not be sufficient for the task at hand. We need to financially enable our nation's research institutions to innovate in clean energy without relying mostly on funding from existing energy and oil companies that do not necessarily feel an immediate imperative to commercialize such innovations. Significantly increasing federal dollars for unencumbered research and development will attract increased entrepreneurial activity around commercializing clean energy solutions that are needed for the U.S. to lead the way to a secure and environmentally sustainable future.

Second, the Obama administration must develop a comprehensive national policy framework to build and adopt alternative energy solutions. We need a national cap and trade legislation; an aggressive renewable portfolio standard to reduce our dependence on oil and drive the adoption of all forms of clean alternative energy; and energy efficiency programs through regulations and incentives for utilities that can increase the energy productivity of our nation. For a comprehensive framework, we need to look no further than my own home state, Massachusetts, which has quickly enacted a comprehensive clean energy strategy to mandate energy efficiency programs, to establish a renewable portfolio standard, and to limit green house gas emissions.

Finally, the administration needs to have an unbiased strategy for lending its financial support to this sector. The federal government shouldn't be in the business of picking technology winners. Instead, it should lend support to all sustainable clean alternative technologies that have a roadmap to economic viability without any subsidies. This financial support needs to come in the form of strong investment tax credits and production tax credits that predictably decrease and ultimately disappear over a period of time, and a streamlined loan guarantee program that enables these companies to attract debt and equity investors to fund the nation's new alternative energy infrastructure. A strong financial commitment by the federal government will spur confidence among our entrepreneurs and investors to continue developing the clean energy sector.

All over the country, entrepreneurs are hard at work founding and building new energy companies, new fuel companies--even new car companies. With the right signals from Washington, it is hard to imagine anything short of a new industrial revolution. The right policies on clean energy will bring economic prosperity, energy independence, and global leadership in solving the world's climate crisis. This is the opportunity that awaits the new administration.

BMW's Electric Car

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

BMW's Electric Car

The new Mini borrows a drive system from a high-performance electric sports car.

By Kevin Bullis

--- from technologyreview.com

Mini electric: The electric version of the Mini looks just like the regular version, except that it has a yellow plug logo and yellow trim.
Credit: BMW

On Wednesday, BMW introduced an electric version of the Mini compact car at the Los Angeles Auto Show. The first 200 of the cars have already been delivered to the United States, well ahead of a wave of new electric cars expected from other major automakers starting in 2010.

"They're the first to have a rollout," says Felix Kramer, founder of CalCars, a group that promotes the development of plug-in hybrids and electric vehicles. BMW was able to speed the introduction of the car by adapting an electric drive system from a small company in California to work in an existing vehicle. Other automakers are instead developing electric-car models from scratch. BMW, which acquired the Mini brand when it bought the Rover Group in 1994, plans to build an additional 300 electric cars by the end of the year, bringing the total to 500. The cars will be leased to select consumers for a year. The automaker's goal is to use the leased vehicles to gather information about real-world driving that will aid the engineering of future mass-produced electric vehicles. "There's no reason, after the first 500, they couldn't sell as many as they could build," Kramer says.

BMW first approached the company that developed the Mini's drive system, AC Propulsion, only a year ago, says Tom Gage, the company's CEO. GM, by contrast, announced its plan to develop an electric car nearly two years ago and says that it will deliver its first vehicles at the end of 2010. (In the 1990s, GM aborted an earlier electric-vehicle program, which had produced a car called the EV-1 in limited quantities.) GM is working with suppliers to develop new battery packs designed specifically for its car, called the Volt. With AC Propulsion, BMW got a ready-made electric drive system that could be incorporated easily into the Mini, and which has been field-tested in AC Propulsion vehicles. Some of these vehicles have well over 100,000 miles on them, Gage says.

The technology used in the Mini is based on a drive system developed for the tzero, AC Propulsion's high-performance electric sports car, which can accelerate from 0 to 60 in 3.6 seconds. The Roadster, a car produced and sold by the startup Tesla Motors, was inspired by the tzero, and the first prototype was based on AC Propulsion's technology. Adapting the tzero's system for the Mini required only minor modifications, Gage says.

The AC Propulsion design is distinctive in part because it uses a single set of hardware to both charge the battery and control the electric motor, saving space and weight. The system is also flexible. The battery can be charged at a variety of rates and voltages, from overnight charging from a standard 110-volt outlet to a 2.5-hour recharge from a special outlet that will be installed in the garages of those who lease the electric Mini.

Batteries not included: AC Propulsion supplied the motor and power electronics that will be used in the electric Mini. The battery pack is not shown.
Credit: AC Propulsion

AC Propulsion's battery pack uses off-the-shelf battery cells of the same type found in laptop-computer battery packs, which Gage says provide the best performance per dollar. A total of 5,088 of these cells have been wired together to store enough energy to power the car for 150 miles. In very rare cases, laptop batteries have been known to overheat and catch fire, a particular danger with the larger packs used in electric cars. Some engineers worry that if one defective cell among the thousands catches fire, it could cause a chain reaction that would destroy the entire pack and might cause injury. To limit that risk, some new battery packs use phosphate-based cells instead of the more common oxide-based cells. Gage would not provide details about the battery cells used in the Mini, saying only that they are "inherently safe." He did, however, say that the company's tests have shown that a chain reaction does not happen if one cell catches fire. BMW adds that the battery pack has passed crash tests.

It's not clear whether BMW will use AC Propulsion's system in future mass-produced electric vehicles. Other automakers are opting for battery cells that are larger than laptop cells, so that they can use hundreds of cells instead of thousands, cutting down on the number of connections inside the pack and improving reliability. Gage says that "companies like us can't afford the time and money for a major battery-development program."

AC Propulsion's manufacturing capacity is also limited. "When we started the discussions [with BMW], we were doing two systems a month, and we thought we could ramp up to 200 a year," Gage says. The company did much better, meeting the requirement of 500 systems by increasing its rate of production to a peak of 60 systems a week. But Gage says that that's a rate he wouldn't want to sustain with the company's current facilities.

The biggest obstacle to mass production may be cost. The electric Mini will be leased for $850 a month, and the company says it already has 9,500 people signed up. Kramer says that millions of people will be willing to spend extra for an environmentally friendly--and fun-to-drive--electric car. But, he says, "it's up to BMW to take great products from AC Propulsion and figure out how to help make them affordable."

Test Driving Google Voice Search

Test Driving Google Voice Search
The new application only occasionally thinks that I want flying pizza.
Video by Brittany Sauser
--- from technologyreview.com

video: http://link.brightcove.com/services/link/bcpid1460879066/bctid2531043001
The new application only occasionally thinks that I want flying pizza.
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
By Erica Naone

Google (finally) released its new voice-search application for the iPhone today, and I had the chance to take it for a spin. Instead of typing in search queries using the small (and slightly annoying) keyboard, a user speaks her search, and the software takes it from there.

So, just how good is it?

I was a little concerned at first, because the people who tried before me hadn't had much luck. One coworker said, "Find pizza," and Google helpfully offered the Flying Pizza restaurant in downtown Dayton. One of my editors, who recently arrived from the United Kingdom, asked for "pictures of Boston" and received "sketches of Buffy."

Things went much better for me. My own nondescript accent, which has been homogenized by travels from one U.S. coast to the other, seemed to suit the application just fine. I had great success searching for "Star Wars" and "movie times at the Loews in Boston Common." Then I tried "Thai restaurants in Allston." As the top result, Google offered me Thai restaurants in Austin, TX, but using the iPhone's GPS capability, it also figured out that I might have meant something a bit closer to my current location in Cambridge, MA. I expect that most people will use the application for location-based searches such as finding restaurants, so it's good to see those features working well. By tapping the search box, I could easily scroll through several alternatives and choose one.

Overall, Google Voice Search is pretty neat. The speech recognition is impressive when you consider that I didn't have to go through any of the training that's usually needed for such applications. Even so, I did manage to confuse it from time to time. For example, when I searched for the old television show The Dukes of Hazzard, the application curiously returned some information about Jesus.

Video by Brittany Sauser

Reality Mining

By Kate Greene - March/April 2008
Sandy Pentland is using data gathered by cell phones to learn about human behavior.
--- from technologyreview.com
Video:
http://link.brightcove.com/services/link/bcpid1827871101/bctid1396506105
Credit: Julien Pacaud
Multimedia
• Alex Pentland on the future of cell phones.
Who: Sandy Pentland, MIT
Definition: Personal reality mining infers human relationships and behavior by applying data-mining algorithms to information collected by cell-phone sensors that can measure location, physical activity, and more.
Impact: Models generated by analyzing data from both individuals and groups could enable automated security settings, smart personal assistants, and monitoring of personal and community health.
Context: Cell phones are now sophisticated enough to collect and analyze data on personal behavior, and researchers are developing techniques that allow them to effectively sort through such information.

Every time you use your cell phone, you leave behind a few bits of information. The phone pings the nearest cell-phone towers, revealing its location. Your service provider records the duration of your call and the number dialed.

Some people are nervous about trailing digital bread crumbs behind them. Sandy ­Pentland, however, revels in it. In fact, the MIT professor of media arts and sciences would like to see phones collect even more information about their users, recording everything from their physical activity to their conversational cadences. With the aid of some algorithms, he posits, that information could help us identify things to do or new people to meet. It could also make devices easier to use--for instance, by automatically determining security settings. More significant, cell-phone data could shed light on workplace dynamics and on the well-being of communities. It could even help project the course of disease outbreaks and provide clues about individuals' health. Pentland, who has been sifting data gleaned from mobile devices for a decade, calls the practice "reality mining."

Reality mining, he says, "is all about paying attention to patterns in life and using that information to help [with] things like setting privacy patterns, sharing things with people, notifying people--basically, to help you live your life."

Researchers have been mining data from the physical world for years, says Alex Kass, a researcher who leads reality-mining projects at Accenture, a consulting and technology services firm. Sensors in manufacturing plants tell operators when equipment is faulty, and cameras on highways monitor traffic flow. But now, he says, "­reality mining is getting personal."

Within the next few years, Pentland predicts, reality mining will become more common, thanks in part to the proliferation and increasing sophistication of cell phones. Many handheld devices now have the processing power of low-end desktop computers, and they can also collect more varied data, thanks to devices such as GPS chips that track location. And researchers such as Pentland are getting better at making sense of all that information.

To create an accurate model of a person's social network, for example, Pentland's team combines a phone's call logs with information about its proximity to other people's devices, which is continuously collected by Bluetooth sensors. With the help of factor analysis, a statistical technique commonly used in the social sciences to explain correlations among multiple variables, the team identifies patterns in the data and translates them into maps of social relationships. Such maps could be used, for instance, to accurately categorize the people in your address book as friends, family members, acquaintances, or coworkers. In turn, this information could be used to automatically establish privacy settings--for instance, allowing only your family to view your schedule. With location data added in, the phone could predict when you would be near someone in your network. In a paper published last May, ­Pentland and his group showed that cell-phone data enabled them to accurately model the social networks of about 100 MIT students and professors. They could also precisely predict where subjects would meet with members of their networks on any given day of the week.

This relationship information could have much broader implications. Earlier this year, Nathan Eagle, a former MIT grad student who had led the reality-­mining research in Pentland's lab, moved to the Santa Fe Institute in New Mexico. There, he plans to use cell-phone data to improve existing computational models of how diseases like SARS spread. Most epidemiology models don't back up their predictions with detailed data on where and with whom people spend their time, Eagle says. The addition of relationship and proximity data would make these models more accurate. "What's interesting is that you can see that a disease spreads based on who is infected first," Eagle says.

Taking advantage of other sensors in cell phones, such as the microphone or the accelerometers built into newer devices like Apple's iPhone, could even extend the benefits of reality mining into personal health care, Pentland says. For example, clues to diagnosing depression could be found in the way a person talks: depressed people may speak more slowly, a change that speech analysis software on a phone might recognize more readily than friends or ­family do. Monitoring a phone's motion sensors might reveal slight changes in gait, which could be an early indicator of ailments such as Parkinson's disease.

While the promise of ­reality mining is great, the idea of collecting so much personal information naturally raises many questions about privacy, Pentland admits. He says it's crucial that behavior-logging technology not be forced on anyone. But legal statutes are lagging behind our data collection abilities, he says, which makes it all the more important to begin discussing how the technology will be used.

For now, though, Pentland is excited about the potential of reality mining to simplify people's lives. "All of the devices that we have are completely ignorant of the things that matter most," he says. "They may know all sorts of stuff about Web pages and phone numbers. But at the end of the day, we live to interact with other people. Now, with reality mining, you can see how that happens ... it's an interesting God's-eye view."

See All 10 Emerging Technologies 2008

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Schilderwald lichtet sich - minimal

Ministerium versprach Schilderfahndern 10 Euro Finderlohn

Schilderwald lichtet sich - minimal

Gleich 6.400 Mitarbeiter hatte der NRW-Verkehrsminister im August zu einem Suchspiel aufgefordert. Für jedes überflüssige Verkehrsschild versprach er 10 Euro Finderlohn. Erstes Fazit der Aktion: 300 von 500.000 Schildern können verschwinden.

--- wdr.de

Verkehrsschilder; Rechte: dpaBild vergrößern

Wer behält hier den Durchblick?

Die Schilderflut, auch auf NRW-Straßen, ist häufig eher verwirrend als hilfreich. Das sehen Experten und Verkehrsteilnehmer schon lange so. In den Städten wimmelt es von überflüssigen Geboten und Verboten. Für eine halbe Million Schilder ist der Landesbetrieb Straßen.NRW verantwortlich. Dabei versperren unnütze Schilder oft den Blick auf wirklich wichtige Zeichen. An mancher Straßenkreuzung sind Autofahrer glatt überfordert. Häufig hängen gleich mehrere Schilder über- und nebeneinander. "Lichtet den Schilderwald" forderte deshalb kürzlich NRW-Verkehrsminister Oliver Wittke.

Mehr als 700 Vorschläge

Verkehrsschilder; Rechte: dpaBild vergrößern

Schilderchaos auf den Straßen

Hilfe versprach sich Wittke dabei von rund 6.400 Mitarbeitern des Landesbetriebs Straßenbau. Diesen sagte der Minister im August 2008 einen Finderlohn von 10 Euro für jedes entdeckte und gemeldete unnütze Verkehrszeichen zu. Über 700 Vorschläge sind seit Beginn der Aktion eingegangen. Am Freitag (21.11.08) zog das Verkehrsministerium ein erstes Fazit: Fast 300 Schilder sollen bald verschwinden. Das entspricht 0,06 Prozent aller Schilder von Straßen.NRW.

Dabei geht es nicht um die Abschaffung von Verkehrszeichen, sondern vielmehr um den sinnvollen und sparsamen Umgang mit den Zeichen. Häufig sind bei einer doppelten Beschilderung auf Bundes- und Landesstraßen die linken Schilder überflüssig - einige von ihnen will Straßen.NRW nun entfernen. Verschwinden sollen auch Geschwindigkeitsbegrenzungen, die nach dem Abschluss von Baustellen nicht wieder abgeräumt wurden. Auch seien oft Vorfahrtsschilder bei Einmündungen von Feldwegen überflüssig, wenn schon eine durchgezogene Linie die Vorfahrt regelt.

Selm - eine Stadt räumt auf

Link

Im münsterländischen Selm ist man da schon einen Schritt weiter. Dort hat man schon vor zehn Jahren erfolgreich den Schilderwald ausgedünnt - als erste Stadt in Deutschland. 1998 guckte man gemeinsam mit dem ADAC viele unnütze Schilder aus, verhängte diese dann mit gelben Säcken, wartete ab, ob sie jemand vermissen würde und trennte sich schließlich von ihnen. Das Ergebnis: 400 Schilder mussten damals raus aus dem Städtchen.

Lehman-Brothers-Produkte bei Ebay

Lehman-Brothers-Produkte bei Ebay --- sueddeutschezeitung.com

Tasse leer 

Kapitalismus für alle: Investmentbanker können jetzt bei Ebay Erinnerungsstücke an die gute alte Zeit ersteigern. Findige Verkäufer verhökern PR-Geschenke von Lehman-Brothers.


vergrößern"Der Letzte-macht-das-Licht-aus-Humor": Lehman-Brothers-Tasse bei Ebay
Foto: privat
 

Es ist nicht ganz zwanzig Jahre her, da tätigte der kapitalistische Westen seine kleinen ironischen Ausverkaufgeschäfte in Sachen Sozialismus. Als nämlich in den letzten Tagen des Jahres 1989 die DDR ausgeräumt und die Mauer stückweise abgetragen wurde, begann ein kurzer Handel mit Arbeiter- und Bauernstaat-Devotionalien zu blühen.

Auf den kleinen Flohmärkten - wir reden ja von einer Welt, die noch samt und sonders eine analoge Welt war - da lagen überall die mit Farbresten legierten Mauerstückchen aus, und wer ein solches Bröckchen besaß, der konnte damit den nächsten Generationen seine Zeitzeugenschaft beweisen.

Handfeuerwaffen als Scherzartikelware

Natürlich wurden damals auch die Asservatenkammern der Deutschen Demokratischen Republik geplündert, und was man dort alles fand, konnten die Wessis ganz gut für ihre politisch-ironischen Faschingsbälle gebrauchen: alte NVA-Uniformen, Generalsmützen, das ganze Ordensblech und mehr oder weniger verbleite Handfeuerwaffen - der gesamte Krempel aus dem Kalten Krieg geriet zur Scherzartikelware.

Wer damals die eher feinen Spielarten der Verhöhnung liebte, presste alte Marx-, Engels-, Lenin-, Lukács- und Pieck-Ausgaben in sein Bücherregal und ließ sich von Besuchern für seine subtile Art bewundern, dem scheinbar versunkenen Ideengebäude des Sozialismus noch einmal einen letzten sarkastisch-musealen Auftritt zu verschaffen.

Es war dieser "Der Letzte-macht-das-Licht-aus-Humor", über den sich alle schiefgelacht haben damals, und der ist heute wieder im Angebot - und will denn diesmal keiner drüber lachen, nein?

Seit die amerikanische Investmentbank Lehman Brothers mit ihrer monströsen Pleite das Zeitalter der Krise eingeläutet hat, stehen diverse Firmen-Devotionalen zum Verkauf. Und weil die meisten Flohmärkte ja heute nicht mehr analog sind, findet man die Lehman-Brother-Scherzartikel jetzt bei Ebay.